The Walter Taylor South Action Group approached council on behalf of the community to ascertain the expected net population increase for the Sherwood-Graceville area under 2 scenarios:
- With current Neighbourhood Plan
- With the proposed draft Neighbourhood Plan
The following figures are based on modelling estimates only and may have room for error because of the small scale of these precinct areas.
According to the BUG-generated figures, the following growth is expected to 2031 as a result of the latest version of the Sherwood-Graceville Neighbourhood Plan:
Population growth: 1707
Dwellings growth: 861
These should be read in light of the growth expected without a Sherwood-Graceville Neighbourhood Plan:
Population growth: 1505
Dwellings growth: 737
Thus, growth over and over that predicted in the original City Plan PIP and therefore attributable to the Sherwood and Corinda Precincts is:
Regarding the extra traffic likely to be generated by growth in the Precincts.
Transport and Traffic’s response to this question is:
At present the average household unit in Brisbane makes about 7 trips per day.
Based on an extra 200 dwellings over the next 20 years, traffic generation is estimated at less than 1500 trips per day.
Considering that the growth and therefore the extra traffic generated will occur over the next 20 years, these trip would hardly be noticeable.
Further, consideration needs to be given to future mode share changes - an increase in walking and cycling to make local trips and an increase in use of public transport is expected.
Also the fact that this area has four rail stations and good access to bus services, the number of extra trips generated will most likely be less than the figure stated.
'Peak oil' is also likely to result in changes to travel behaviour.